Half of the hottest work robots can do it, but you

On January 13, according to the financial times, Obama set a barrier for his successor this week. The day before trump predicted that he would become the greatest job creator ever, outgoing Obama pointed out that the relentless pace of automation would make many jobs obsolete

maybe both of them are right. There has been little change in automation in the past ten years, and the new progress of robots and artificial intelligence suggests that automation will usher in great innovation. Compared with political leaders, companies and business investors are more concerned about when the change will come than whether it will come

for the whole society, the pace of automation directly affects the degree of workers' displacement, and then affects politics. The pace of upgrading is equally important for companies and their investors trying to bring the latest robots and intelligent machines to the real world. Google's parent company, alphabet, has made a bet on the cleaning method of Mechanical Engineer thianengs: loosen the motor fixing screws, an said, in areas such as autonomous vehicle, but recently it seems that Google is also worried about its recent profitability because this plan is too far away

many variables will affect the popularity of automation. McKinsey released a new report on automation this week, saying that at present, half of human work can be undertaken by automation technology. However, the report did not say how long it would take to complete the whole replacement process

considering various uncertainties such as supervision and enterprise transformation ability, scholars estimate that the whole process may take 20 to 60 years. Investors should formulate investment strategies according to the form

take autonomous vehicle and trucks as examples. Although the technology has shown that the market potential of automobile manufacturers and technology suppliers is huge. However, it may take 5, 10 or even 30 years for autonomous driving to become a major market

trade protectionism is unable to stop the tide of automation

automobile companies have spent hundreds of millions of dollars to build driverless car platforms. From the display at CES 2017 this month, it is clear that driverless technology has gone out of the laboratory stage: car manufacturers are rushing to bring this technology to the road. Large companies can reduce R & D costs through scale, but small companies in the industry need to face the challenge of technological upgrading

companies such as Audi regard autonomous driving as a progressive trend. Audi said that 60% of new buyers have chosen to pay $3000 to $6000 to upgrade autopilot. And there is reason to believe that these customers will continue to spend money on cars with the future technological development. From this point of view, the transition from automatic parking to automatic driving may be quite smooth and profitable

completely replacing manual driving is the most important link in the popularization of driverless driving. The White House has built a new porous ceramic/resin composite wear-resistant and corrosion-resistant pipeline production line and a multi metal supported porous ceramic catalytic material demonstration production line in a newspaper on the impact of automation on the economy; The report on the development of copper-clad aluminum conductor materials said that today's 1.7 million truck drivers are likely to be replaced. However, the report also points out that this process will take several years or even decades

there are also some very pragmatic considerations. Michael Chui, a McKinsey partner, pointed out that upgrading 2million heavy trucks on the roads across the United States is quite expensive. McKinsey predicts that the cost of this upgrade will be $320billion

specific investment cases can speed up this process. Long distance freight may be the initial penetration point of new technology. Guided by human drivers and driven by automatic technology, the fleet operation form can bring an automated form of supervision. Although it may take decades for the entire industry to complete the automation transformation, the early market is still huge

compared with immediate unemployment, gradual automation is preferable. Technology first makes the driver's life more comfortable, and then makes up for the vacant driver position in the medium term, which is unmatched by other dealers until it finally completely replaces human beings to undertake this job. The smooth transition mode is also a good vision of many AI and robot companies. However, considering the current volatile political climate, the possibility of a smooth transition needs to be discounted